Title

The overlapping burden of the three leading causes of disability and death in sub-Saharan African children

Authors

Robert C. Reiner, Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
Catherine A. Welgan, Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
Christopher E. Troeger, Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
Mathew M. Baumann, Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
Daniel J. Weiss, University of Oxford
Aniruddha Deshpande, Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
Brigette F. Blacker, Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
Molly K. Miller-Petrie, Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
Lucas Earl, Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
Samir Bhatt, Imperial College London
Hassan Abolhassani, Karolinska Universitetssjukhuset
Akine Eshete Abosetugn, Debre Berhan University
Eman Abu-Gharbieh, University of Sharjah
Victor Adekanmbi, King's College London
Olatunji O. Adetokunboh, Stellenbosch University
Mohammad Aghaali, Qom University of Medical Sciences and Health Services
Budi Aji, Universitas Jenderal Soedirman
Fares Alahdab, Mayo Clinic
Ziyad Al-Aly, Washington University in St. Louis
Robert Kaba Alhassan, University of Health and Allied Sciences, Ghana
Saqib Ali, Sultan Qaboos University
Hesam Alizade, Hormozgan University of Medical Sciences
Syed Mohamed Aljunid, Kuwait University
Amir Almasi-Hashiani, Arak University of Medical Sciences
Hesham M. Al-Mekhlafi, Jazan University
Khalid A. Altirkawi, King Saud University
Nelson Alvis-Guzman, Universidad de Cartagena
Azmeraw T. Amare, Adelaide Medical School
Saeed Amini, Arak University of Medical Sciences
Khaled Khatab, Ohio University

Document Type

Article

Publication Date

12-1-2022

Abstract

Despite substantial declines since 2000, lower respiratory infections (LRIs), diarrhoeal diseases, and malaria remain among the leading causes of nonfatal and fatal disease burden for children under 5 years of age (under 5), primarily in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). The spatial burden of each of these diseases has been estimated subnationally across SSA, yet no prior analyses have examined the pattern of their combined burden. Here we synthesise subnational estimates of the burden of LRIs, diarrhoea, and malaria in children under-5 from 2000 to 2017 for 43 sub-Saharan countries. Some units faced a relatively equal burden from each of the three diseases, while others had one or two dominant sources of unit-level burden, with no consistent pattern geographically across the entire subcontinent. Using a subnational counterfactual analysis, we show that nearly 300 million DALYs could have been averted since 2000 by raising all units to their national average. Our findings are directly relevant for decision-makers in determining which and targeting where the most appropriate interventions are for increasing child survival.

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